Thread: Two Aspects of Draw: Ben Frisch
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Old 08-08-2007, 06:59 PM
2461Badugi 2461Badugi is offline
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Default Re: Two Aspects of Draw: Ben Frisch
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Here's the quote:

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The chances of making two pair or better if drawing three cards to a pair is about 44% or about (1-(39/47 * 38/46 * 37/45) = 1-(.8298 * .8261 * .8222) = 1-.5636 =43.64%) or odds of about 9-4. So by keeping that ace you are significantly hurting your chances to improve your hands.


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I think if you dig through the archives you can find examples calculating the number exactly; Caro's number is correct.


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Interesting bit bolded. 44% sure ain't 9:4, but Caro's number is pretty close to it. Someone read odds notation backwards and tried to self-justify?
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