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Old 11-23-2007, 03:44 AM
lennie257 lennie257 is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2007
Posts: 56
Default Re: FutureDoc, Look inside.....[CENSORED] THREAD! [CENSORED] THREAD!

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Hand two: bad. I don't understand why you would check the flop. If you're going to raise AJs from MP which is marginal, you have to bet this flop. Your river value raise is fine, but once he pushes it's a fold. There's nothing you can beat here, he's not shoving with AQ here.

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the check was to induce bluffs, i thought w/ the jack on the river he's shoving worse jacks and that would make it raise/call instead of raise/fold

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Hmm maybe it's more marginal than I thought. The only jacks that might call your raise are KJ, JT and occasionally J9. There is also a very small chance that he's slowplayed AA or KK into oblivion, but I would say not moe than 5% in this hand. On the other side, there's 33, QQ, QJ, 66, which are more likely to flat call the PF raise. I still think a call in this situation is -EV but it's a lot tougher than I thought on first glance.