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Search: Posts Made By: alewis21
Forum: Small Stakes 10-04-2007, 03:26 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 242
Posted By alewis21
Re: JJ OOP vs a LAG

I don't understand why you don't lead the flop? You said he's a LAG and has been 3betting you quite a bit, so IMO you are beating a lot of his range. I don't think the UTG limp changes much. I think...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-26-2007, 10:45 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 101
Posted By alewis21
Re: Shove here?

[ QUOTE ]
CAZOR34 could have any pair and any A, K or Q. Brewhead is calling off more than half his stack. He should have pushed. Why did he not push? Either his hand is weak or he is hoping that...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-26-2007, 10:33 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 101
Posted By alewis21
Re: Shove here?

[ QUOTE ]

Sometimes in this spot I'll minraise to isolate.

[/ QUOTE ]

A min raise will not isolate anyone, it will just sweeten the pot. Everyone will be getting incredible odds to call....
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-26-2007, 10:19 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 80
Posted By alewis21
Re: Poker Stars 100k, What would you do here??

[ QUOTE ]
(38% {equity versus entire calling range} x 147K - 70K) = -14K 86% of the time.

[/ QUOTE ]

I'm following you, but where do you get 38% equity versus entire calling range? Remember,...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-26-2007, 09:27 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 80
Posted By alewis21
Re: Poker Stars 100k, What would you do here??

I put all the rest in and here's why.

Your M is already below 10, and in a few minutes it will be lower, so you indeed have to do something here.

A cold call will take you down to 55,000. If...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-26-2007, 08:34 PM
Replies: 14
Views: 81
Posted By alewis21
Re: 88 UTG flopping overpair on drawy board.

[ QUOTE ]

I just hate passing up what is likely gonna be 6:1 or better. That's almost enough for the gutshot by itself.

[/ QUOTE ]

Don't forget that only three of the fives could be worth...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-25-2007, 03:02 PM
Replies: 27
Views: 150
Posted By alewis21
Re: Please give feedback on my bust-out hand

This is a push and nothing else. Not only is any pocket pair big four handed, your effective M is about 3, and you are deep in the red zone. At this point it's all in or nothing, and you won't have...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-25-2007, 02:53 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 68
Posted By alewis21
Re: 4.40/180

Wanted to say something, but levAA hit it right on the money.

He most likely has an ace, and one of the two aces he could have is the ace of spades, so you definitely can't give him the chance to...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-25-2007, 02:38 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 108
Posted By alewis21
Re: 20/180 GB + FD Deep

Dave,

I'm going to go off of Exit's last post. Good post exit.

Raising with position with a draw heads up is a good play that I myself employ from time to time. You may take the pot right then...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-24-2007, 05:52 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 119
Posted By alewis21
Re: Getting value after the worst card in the deck hits

Well reasoned, and here is my response.

I think the way you played that hand up to the point should be the strategy against a tight player. But an aggressive player (I'm assuming all the while he...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-24-2007, 05:06 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 108
Posted By alewis21
Re: 20/180 GB + FD Deep

Yes I see what you are saying now. However, I don't agree with raising the flop and then calling a push. The ideal play with drawing hands is to keep the pot as small as possible until you do hit...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-24-2007, 04:55 PM
Replies: 12
Views: 119
Posted By alewis21
Re: Getting value after the worst card in the deck hits

Raising with this hand with 4 folds in front isn't a terrible play, but why do you check the flop. That is your first mistake. By checking you open the door for him to bet, and because he seems...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-24-2007, 04:25 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 108
Posted By alewis21
Re: 20/180 GB + FD Deep

You should be more willing to play this hand with a stack of 10500 than 5000. You can't look at it as 'risking your chips' - in a tournament, you must if you want to make money. If you sit there with...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-24-2007, 04:03 PM
Replies: 21
Views: 108
Posted By alewis21
Re: 20/180 GB + FD Deep

You have an M of 35. Suited connectors play best in late position and a big stack facing a big stack. You have a very good situation here. No way in hell do you fold this pre flop. This is a...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-24-2007, 03:19 PM
Replies: 15
Views: 71
Posted By alewis21
Re: I put myself in an ugly spot... help with the math please

To begin the hand, you have an M of about 11 (9068/825), which means you need play more aggressively. Passive play, limping in with small to medium pocket pairs, suited connectors, and borderline...
Forum: MTT Strategy 08-23-2007, 07:34 PM
Replies: 18
Views: 104
Posted By alewis21
Re: AQo from UTG facing a re-raise (4/180)

This is an easy fold.
1. He re-raised you one seat to your left with several players behind him yet to act. A solid player would do this with nothing short of a premium hand (top pocket pair or...
Forum: Small Stakes 07-20-2007, 04:55 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 55
Posted By alewis21
Re: Hourly Rate

Thanks for answering the post, you dolt....
Forum: Small Stakes 07-20-2007, 12:09 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 55
Posted By alewis21
Hourly Rate

What should a solid player expect to make hourly for .50/1 NL ring games? (AVG, of course, over a period of time)
Forum: Small Stakes 07-19-2007, 08:32 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 85
Posted By alewis21
Re: fun spot with trips....

I think this is a clear fold. A bunch of crappy players they may be, but not all of them are firing and calling and raising big with squa-douche.

So just fold. A table this jittery will likely...
Forum: Small Stakes 07-19-2007, 08:08 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 34
Posted By alewis21
Re: 100NL River decision on tricky board

Simple answer: call
Raising will only get called by hands that will beat you. After checking all the way, the big blind all of a sudden wakes up and bets out of position in a three way hand? The...
Forum: Small Stakes 07-19-2007, 07:10 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 58
Posted By alewis21
Re: NL100 - straight facing all-in on river, 3 spades

I think your biggest mistake was betting the turn. By betting the turn, you open the door for him to really make you make expensive mistakes.

If you are out of position, you bet the turn with a...
Forum: Poker Theory 07-17-2007, 05:06 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 85
Posted By alewis21
bankroll

Conventional wisdom is to play cash games where your bankroll is 1000 the big blind. Anyone know how to choose the level of sit 'n go's? Or the larger tournaments for that matter??
Thanks
Forum: Poker Theory 07-17-2007, 02:31 PM
Replies: 23
Views: 127
Posted By alewis21
Re: bet sizes to maximize profits, and minimize losses (intresting)

Steve,
First off, you may want to reconsider playing hands like 67o if you aren't comfortable playing them when a sketchy flop comes. Certain preconditions need to be met when marginal hands qualify...
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