Forum: Medium Stakes
09-02-2007, 02:41 PM
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Replies: 6
Views: 45
Re: 400 3betpot topset fancy or dumb ?!
Whatever you do in this spot will get the money in. It seems like he has a hand that he likes given flop call, and the worst hand he could have here is basically AJ (he's the PFR, so the assumption...
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Forum: Medium Stakes
09-02-2007, 02:28 PM
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Replies: 7
Views: 29
Re: 400 bet , 3bet push with A high flushdraw ?
Here comes some math.
Assuming you have 25% equity, let's see what FE we need to make the push correct.
208*x + (1-x)(0.25*483-0.75*355)>0
208x + 145.5x - 145.5 >0
353x - 145.5>0
...
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Forum: Medium Stakes
09-02-2007, 01:57 PM
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Replies: 1
Views: 20
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Forum: Medium Stakes
08-24-2007, 09:08 AM
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Replies: 37
Views: 239
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Forum: High Stakes
08-24-2007, 08:45 AM
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Replies: 22
Views: 103
Re: 10/20, KK v River Checkraise
Pot Odds: 2 to1, we need to win 30% of the time
Would he not c/r a FD with overcards on the flop? If he does have a FD,I wouldn't expect
him to c/r AI river with a busted FD more than 20% of the...
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Forum: Micro Stakes
08-21-2007, 10:42 AM
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Replies: 2
Views: 23
Re: TPTK Paired board
You learn the basics at nl2, but you just can't give credits to your opponents. I think you're not in such bad shape most of the time. But don't expect to learn more than the rules at these stakes.
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-21-2007, 09:00 AM
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Replies: 11
Views: 53
Re: nl200 wii semibluff checkriase allin
Quick math:
Your equity against a very narrowed range (no bluffing hands, which you should definitely consider, but for the purpose of the math, let's see the worst case scenario)
villain's best...
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Forum: High Stakes
08-10-2007, 08:22 AM
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Replies: 39
Views: 165
Re: kotkis vs. Morrek, 10/20 200xBB deep
Morrek has to represent the ace here if he believes he can make you fold QQ, and he knows that you don't want to bluff raise him as if he folds, your hand will be shown at showdown against CO. So I...
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Forum: High Stakes
08-10-2007, 08:00 AM
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Replies: 17
Views: 78
Re: Ak gets agression from wrong Villain
Are you making fun of yourself or are you really not able to spot the irony...
Getting 2.25to1 on the call, we need to win 30% of the time to reach the break even point.
I don't really see how...
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Forum: High Stakes
08-10-2007, 05:29 AM
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Replies: 30
Views: 127
Re: aa 300bb
Opponent's range : {KK-TT,77,AJs,KcQc,JTs,9c8c,AJo}
PokerStove Equity against that range : 60%
Pot odds: 2to1, 33%
-> Call
Let's assign some % to opponent's range:
AJ : 25%
JT : 20%
QcKc or...
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Forum: High Stakes
08-09-2007, 07:09 AM
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Replies: 27
Views: 126
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Forum: Medium Stakes
08-08-2007, 01:29 PM
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Replies: 2
Views: 22
Re: NL200 - AA 300bb deep vrs. good player
it wasn't the right time to mix it up with a flop check... the most likely hand for villain here is set of queens/jacks, AJ/AQ and QJ being pretty unlikely...
Your hand isn't in great shape as you...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-02-2007, 10:09 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 37
Re: I love my hand but.... nl200
[ QUOTE ]
Maybe not, but even if we assume he has {KK+,AKs,KQs,AKo,KQo} we're still ahead. So we'd want to get it in as soon as possible before another diamond kills our action.
[/ QUOTE ]
...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-02-2007, 09:55 AM
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Replies: 9
Views: 37
Re: I love my hand but.... nl200
It seems that the hand converted messed up the HH. (it says you are BB and still act first pf, BTN act first on the flop...?)
You are only 100bb deep, I guess I would play this hand for stacks...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-02-2007, 09:31 AM
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Replies: 15
Views: 72
Re: I fold a boat - nl200
I advocate never donk betting the flop against a TAG. He's going to cbet this flop most of the time, so go for a standard check/raise ~$40. I don't like checking the turn, as villain could check...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-02-2007, 09:20 AM
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Replies: 23
Views: 79
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Forum: High Stakes
08-02-2007, 09:17 AM
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Replies: 26
Views: 115
Re: Calls
[ QUOTE ]
Thanks for the good reply, do I really need 44%? Figured it would be around 30%.
[/ QUOTE ]
You gotta work on poker math for a bit. You need 33% equity when villain pots it, 25%...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-02-2007, 09:07 AM
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Replies: 23
Views: 79
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-01-2007, 08:00 PM
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Replies: 4
Views: 26
Re: Time for a blccking bet?
How small do you want the blocking bet to be ? With the jack pairing I think you should bet 13-15 here, not less. If it gets called c/f river. (missed flush draws aren't going to bluff often in that...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-01-2007, 07:49 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 183
Re: Passive KK against tags...
I like your line a lot, very nice for mixing up your play. If you have him beat I think you extracted the most out of him by letting him bluff, and lost the minimum if you're actually beat.
Edit :...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-01-2007, 07:39 PM
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Replies: 23
Views: 79
Re: Mid set with 33; could this be a fold?
Given villain's stats the only hand that he could have that beats you here is JJJ. Raising 5xBB right after the utg poster shows a lot of strength from such a tight opponent, I don't see how he...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-01-2007, 07:31 PM
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Replies: 5
Views: 28
Re: H. has IDEA - H. needs proper BETSIZE
Not sure I like the turn bet size... I think it gets bluffed raised quite often by a tricky player, and you allow any jack to make an almost no brainer call... This is one of the few spots where you...
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Forum: High Stakes
08-01-2007, 07:15 PM
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Replies: 11
Views: 318
Re: AA paired board
I would bet again. I think you want to keep leading because it makes it really harder for Villain to bluff you, whereas if you check, it is such a great spot for him and he's going to bet here most...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-01-2007, 04:44 PM
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Replies: 21
Views: 89
Re: Flush vs a fish - 100NL DEEP
First basic question, do you want to play for 200BB with a J high flush ?
If yes you definitely have to reraise that turn (80-90)
If you flat call, being OOP you'll probably have to check if a...
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Forum: Small Stakes
08-01-2007, 04:32 PM
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Replies: 10
Views: 46
Re: Flopped set, extracting value
1st option : raise to 60. you guys are deepstacked, so it gets obviously harder to know whether villain wants to stack off here on a FD or AQ, but give it a try (most +EV line if villain is very...
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