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Forum: MTT Strategy 10-24-2007, 05:57 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 326
Posted By typohh
Re: good resteal spot? Full Tilt $3 Rebuy

If you are going for a resteal, why do you care that your cards are, it is STEAL after all, most of the EV in this move should come from opponent folding so your cards shouldnt really matter....
Forum: MTT Community 10-22-2007, 07:31 PM
Replies: 6
Views: 85
Posted By typohh
Re: How can i make money on poker

I used to have the same problem, my br management was horrible, so I decided no more deposists, that every time I lose my bankroll I would start from freerolls. And after that I started to keep track...
Forum: MTT Community 10-21-2007, 04:05 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

[ QUOTE ]
1st 30.7%
2nd 23.3%
3rd 17.0%

which has ITM 71% which makes sense (for ROI 400%).

[/ QUOTE ]

Copy-pasted in the wrong numbers, the result is obviously..
Forum: MTT Community 10-21-2007, 02:56 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]


Well, obviously the reweighted positions total has to match the given ROI, as to how I do it.... I dont know what the technique is called, but I assume you have...
Forum: MTT Community 10-21-2007, 01:12 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

[ QUOTE ]
Just to clarify, you're using the exact payout structure and not an approximation?

Also, how do go from ROI to a distribution of finishes?

[/ QUOTE ]

Yes, I'm using excact payout...
Forum: MTT Community 10-21-2007, 12:57 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

[ QUOTE ]
This is good stuff. I'd be curious to see the results for Stars 180's, 45's, Sunday Million, and Sunday Hundred Grand.

[/ QUOTE ]

Here a previous sunday hundred grand with 18k...
Forum: MTT Community 10-21-2007, 12:26 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

[ QUOTE ]
could you run your program for the 60/45-mans?

its a 55+5, 45-man MTT w/ payouts:

1st: 31%
2nd: 21.5%
3rd: 16.5%
4th: 12.5%
5th: 9%
Forum: MTT Community 10-21-2007, 12:21 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

[ QUOTE ]
This is good stuff. I'd be curious to see the results for Stars 180's, 45's, Sunday Million, and Sunday Hundred Grand.

[/ QUOTE ]

Here is previous sunday million with 6366...
Forum: MTT Community 10-20-2007, 07:47 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

[ QUOTE ]
OK, Let's see if I understand this correctly:

I play the $2.20 sat's into the Sunday $100K (Flat $11 T$ payout to top 20%)

That tournament is closely approx'd by this table:

[...
Forum: MTT Community 10-20-2007, 10:00 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Re: Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

From the Wikipedia article...

[ QUOTE ]
The optimum bet for the greatest growth of bankroll is making the full bet suggested by the Kelly criterion, but this produces a volatile result. There is...
Forum: MTT Community 10-20-2007, 06:39 AM
Replies: 33
Views: 681
Posted By typohh
Kelly Criterion deduced from ROI & Prize Structure.

Hi, I wrote a small piece of software to calculate kelly criterion for multiple different outcomes, and applied it to tournament prizestructure and ROI to get some hopefully usefull results.

1616...
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