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Forum: MTT Strategy 03-19-2007, 11:25 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 78
Posted By Dirk72
Re: KK vs Pearljammed in WSOP sat

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
tough spot set 88 overpair mmmmm wow i dont like this spot at all cant say what id do. pearljammed is a top player too

[/ QUOTE ]

Okay, here's my thinking and what I did....
Forum: STT Strategy 03-19-2007, 11:10 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 280
Posted By Dirk72
Re: 6$ Down to final three

Preflop, a clear fold, the probability that one of them bust out on this hand is high.
As played, certain a push.
Forum: STT Strategy 03-16-2007, 11:04 AM
Replies: 15
Views: 70
Posted By Dirk72
Re: sng analyzer, EV formula

Formula : Edge of EV = Push Equity - Fold Equity

Push Equity = Equity1 (you push, opponent calls, you win) + Equity2 (you push, opponent calls, you lose) + Equity3 (you push, opponent folds)
...
Forum: STT Strategy 03-15-2007, 09:13 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 43
Posted By Dirk72
Re: 55: Bubble with 3BB and A5o

If the big stack (suppose other two will prob fold) would know your cards, he can call you profitable with 15% hands and even then you have a change of 34% to win. So you have a fold equity of 16.12%...
Forum: STT Strategy 03-15-2007, 08:43 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 52
Posted By Dirk72
Re: ($27) JJ to a re-raise level 2

This is early in the tournament, I would just limp with JJ in UTG. If I should raise, minimum 4-5BB. Folding JJ after a reraise is correct play, you would be against JJ+ or AK and a big underdog.
Forum: STT Strategy 03-15-2007, 08:34 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 33
Posted By Dirk72
Re: $22s - calling two smallstack ai with Q9?

If UTG is pushing any pair, any ace and any broadway and UTG+1 is calling with top 12%. Even then you have an EV$ edge of 0.3% if you call.

If you think UTG is pushing a wider range of hands, this...
Forum: STT Strategy 03-15-2007, 06:43 AM
Replies: 3
Views: 33
Posted By Dirk72
Re: ($27) Why is calling -EV if opp pushes 100%?

Your equity before the hand is about 23% (this mean your EV is 23% of the prize pool).
If you fold your equity becomes about 21%.
If you call all-in with ATs and your opp is pushing with 100%, you...
Forum: MTT Strategy 03-14-2007, 12:10 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 108
Posted By Dirk72
Re: look at my chip count hand b4, here is final hand

All you need to win, is a chip and a chair...
Forum: STT Strategy 03-14-2007, 11:59 AM
Replies: 7
Views: 57
Posted By Dirk72
Re: ROI on $11

ROI of 20-25% on party is easy.
Forum: STT Strategy 03-14-2007, 09:02 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 39
Posted By Dirk72
ICM - Calculation Minimum Edge

If you use the ICM to make a push/fold decision, you need a minimum edge between push equity and fold equity before pushing.

SNGWiz is using this formula to calculate the minimum edge :
Edge = EM...
Forum: STT Strategy 03-14-2007, 08:47 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 33
Posted By Dirk72
Re: ($12t) -- Semi-short stack shoves into my BB....I have A9s

If his pushing range is higher as top 20%, you are slightly favorite. But even if he's pushing 100%, you are only a 63% favorite. Because your M is below 5 it is an easy call. But if your M is above...
Forum: STT Strategy 03-14-2007, 08:34 AM
Replies: 17
Views: 72
Posted By Dirk72
Re: $16s - 100/200, Shortstack 88 on bubble facing big stack raise

I prefer to push preflop. Played like this, I would push on the flop.
Forum: STT Strategy 03-13-2007, 07:41 AM
Replies: 22
Views: 120
Posted By Dirk72
Forum: STT Strategy 03-13-2007, 07:29 AM
Replies: 25
Views: 87
Posted By Dirk72
Re: $11 SnG AKo in SB, raise or call??

Just call and see the flop.
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