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-   -   AJ hand played passively (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=178568)

Lunkan 08-04-2006 09:57 AM

AJ hand played passively
 
UTG+1 is very loose passive. Seen most flops and no preflop raises. (About 10 hands played with him when this hand took place)

Poker Room skin
Limit Holdem Ring game
Limit: $1/$2
9 players
Converter

Pre-flop: (9 players) wildhorses13 is Button with A[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 (poster) checks, MP2 calls, 2 folds, <font color="#cc0000">wildhorses13 raises</font>, 2 folds, UTG+1 calls, MP1 calls, MP2 calls.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (9.5SB, 4 players)
UTG+1 checks, MP1 checks, MP2 checks, <font color="#cc0000">wildhorses13 bets</font>, UTG+1 calls, 2 folds.

Turn: A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (5.75BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets</font>, wildhorses13 calls.

River: 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (7.75BB, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">UTG+1 bets</font>, wildhorses13 calls.

Results:
Final pot: 9.75BB

The donkbet from a passive player made me a bit scared and I decided to only call down from there. Too weak?

fabadam 08-04-2006 10:07 AM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
(grunch)

The turn donkbet is indeed weird. Possibilities:
(1) He slowplayed a set.
(2) He has JT
(3) He has Qdxd
(4) He has Ax and thinks TP must be gold. Or he has A4.
(5) some weird bluff

All in all, it becomes a WA/WB situation, and I think calling down is OK, and a fold is not much worse.

Smurph64 08-04-2006 10:18 AM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
*grunch*

I would have raised the donk bet on the turn myself but likely that player just hit two pair or the straight and so calling is applicable. I want to see the final holding myself in this situation to know if he donks the nuts or less.

Players like these continue to do the same thing against a one player, betting their cards when they think or know they have the win and calling down otherwise.

Any future leading out from them is a sign of strength and you never really need to worry about a check raise in the future.

Christian_Peters 08-04-2006 10:21 AM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
Do not fold.

Reaction 08-04-2006 12:25 PM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
[ QUOTE ]
(grunch)

The turn donkbet is indeed weird. Possibilities:
(1) He slowplayed a set.
(2) He has JT
(3) He has Qdxd
(4) He has Ax and thinks TP must be gold. Or he has A4.
(5) some weird bluff

All in all, it becomes a WA/WB situation, and I think calling down is OK, and a fold is not much worse.

[/ QUOTE ]

I am not convinced that this is a WA/WB but if it were, this makes no sense. If you have 90% equity to half of villain’s range and 10% equity against the other half (i.e. going to win 50%) and the pot is offering 6.75:2 then folding is clearly wrong. In addition, using the range you gave does not support this being a WA/WB situation (the T9 is the “weird bluff”):

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

6,732 games 0.005 secs 1,346,400 games/sec

Board: Qs Kd 4c Ad
Dead:

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 62.5891 % 55.15% 07.43% { AcJc }
Hand 2: 37.4109 % 29.98% 07.43% { KK-QQ, 44, A2s+, Q2s+, JTs, T9s, A2o+, JTo, T9o }

To the OP,

I would through a raise in somewhere. The river ended up being the best place, but you had no way of knowing that on the turn.

NIX 08-04-2006 02:23 PM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
I don't think I'd c-bet this flop myself.

Lunkan 08-04-2006 03:35 PM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
[ QUOTE ]
I don't think I'd c-bet this flop myself.

[/ QUOTE ]
- I could have the best hand
- A better hand may fold
- I have a gutshot, backdoor flush and straight draw and an overcard
- A bet could buy me a free card on the turn
- No aggressive opponents at the table made it quite unlikely I was going to get checkraised (maybe didn't include that read in OP)

Given the above I reasoned that a bet was correct, am I wrong?

Christian_Peters 08-04-2006 03:47 PM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
I agree. I think you should definitely bet here when checked to. But I'm n00b, so take it for what it's worth.

johnnytt 08-04-2006 03:56 PM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
I think this hand is probably OK. I dont mind the flop C-bet with gutshot, overcard, and BDFD. After passive player donks turn you are probably no good but as it is HU I probably just call dwon UI.

fabadam 08-04-2006 04:34 PM

Re: AJ hand played passively
 
Yes, Ax is the majority of the range in the examples I named, but I think you'd have to discount it somewhat -- villain will not bet with it ALL the time, which he will with the made hands.

Still, your PokerStove test comes out very good for us indeed. Basically, you have to guess how often he's doing this with Ax, and act accordingly.


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