$6 Bubble play
 

UTG has been pushing some hands like this when he doues not have to. He has been called and won every time, not always with good cards (...), so I am probobly ahead of his range. The thing is that the play is not that good, and I feel confident that I can make it into the money without risking all my chips here.

Party Poker
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t100/t200
4 players
Converter

Seat 4: Hero t2040
Seat 1: UTG t8870
Seat 6: SB t5845
Seat 7: BB t3245

Pre-flop: (4 players) Hero is Button with 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG raises all-in t8870, Hero folds, 2 folds.
Uncalled bets: t8670 returned to UTG.


Results:
Final pot: t500

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

Calling is bad except if he pushes more than 80% of his hands. I really don't think he does.

Fold.

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

I call here.

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

I don't see why calling would be bad.
you are ahead most of the time here.

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

you maybe ahead of villain but I won't feel too good about the call...

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

SNGPT is cool.

a) the mathematics of ICM can give you a fairly good answer

and

b) without having done said mathematics, I would fold. you have 10bb, and plenty of time remaining. even if you call, you're unlikely to be better than 50/50 of winning. EVEN IF you call, and win, you're still not guaranteed to be ITM.

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

To be clear : my answer commes straight from SnGWiz

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

i ran it on sngpt, i'm with rex here... villain has to be pushing far wide to make calling mathematically correct!

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

Bein g the shorty of the 4 how can it be EV- calling when worst case scenario I am on a coin flip?
4 handed, with 10BB (9 next hand)gives me 12/15 hands max, am I going to see another pair? in theory not.

Re: $6 Bubble play
 

[ QUOTE ]
Bein g the shorty of the 4 how can it be EV- calling when worst case scenario I am on a coin flip?
4 handed, with 10BB (9 next hand)gives me 12/15 hands max, am I going to see another pair? in theory not.

[/ QUOTE ]

if you can disprove mathematics as a whole, then you may be correct. otherwise, you are not.