16: QQ makes a set on the river on a 3 flush board

DeuceSeven · #1 09-07-2007, 12:19 AM

Villain is 43/19 through 16 hands.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

CO (t3575)
Button (t1520)
Hero (t1490)
BB (t1425)
UTG (t2770)
MP (t2720)

Preflop: Hero is SB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, MP raises to t90, CO calls t90, 1 fold, Hero raises to t390, 1 fold, MP calls t300, CO calls t300.

Flop: (t1200) A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks.

Turn: (t1200) 2[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks.

River: (t1200) Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero bets t300, MP raises to t840, CO folds, Hero raises to t1100, MP calls t260.

Final Pot: t3400

JLaw · #2 09-07-2007, 02:43 AM

How aggressive is the villain post-flop? How does he play his big hands like flushes? How does he play draws?

I'd tend to think he'd bet the flop if he had an A to avoid giving free cards to a diamond draw -- he can't be waiting to c-r the CO as the CO's shown no aggression.

I also tend to think he'd bet the flop with a flush draw --
I'm simply guessing that he's fairly aggressive post-flop based on his pre-flop data.

On the turn if he's got an A, but is afraid of the flush, then he needs to make a bet to see if the pot is winnable. If he's got the flush, then he needs to make a bet to get some money in the pot. He's got a pre-flop raiser and caller who presumably had something pre-flop who may call a small bet.

His river raise doesn't make much sense to me -- smells fishy. However, I hate your re-raise. Just call -- if you're ahead, the extra 250 chips aren't worth that much. However, if he did make the flush, then those 250 chips might be enough to get you back in the hunt.

Jeff