Blind vs. Blind - AK & Reraised Pot

jk3a · #1 03-31-2007, 07:02 PM

Unknown villain.

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, $1.00 BB (3 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

SB ($87.30)
Hero ($100)
Button ($49.85)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img].
1 fold, SB raises to $4, Hero raises to $12, SB calls $8.

Flop: ($24) 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 7[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 3[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (2 players)
SB checks,

willw9 · #2 03-31-2007, 07:05 PM

JW, would you be asking this if you weren't on a downswing (you said you were in a thread from a few days ago)?

orange · #3 03-31-2007, 07:07 PM

i check. i doubt he's calling OOP with a super weak hand. i think alot of times your facing a cr ai if you bet.

i think betting is fine as well, i think you'll get shoved on alot though. his stack size makes things a bit awkward too.

willw9 · #4 03-31-2007, 07:14 PM

I think my relentless cbettage is a leak, but I would bet here without question (~$18).

Novles · #5 03-31-2007, 08:52 PM

not a lot of value in betting, but I still bet it because I'm betting ~100% of the time with my range here.

toss · #6 03-31-2007, 10:37 PM

I bet like all the time here vs unknown.

jk3a · #7 03-31-2007, 11:16 PM

[ QUOTE ]
JW, would you be asking this if you weren't on a downswing (you said you were in a thread from a few days ago)?

[/ QUOTE ]

Probably not. But I'm trying to post some "routine" spots that I haven't thought about in a while for confirmation.

If he's only folding say 50% of his range to a flop bet, is a bet here really +EV? Let's assume I bet 2/3 of the pot here and I have on average 25% equity against his calling range and he always checks the turn. With a 2/3 pot cbet, I need him to fold ~40% for this bet to be neutral EV without taking into account my chance of improving. Obviously, I can get called here by worse like flush draws and the occasional idiot with overs, but I'm not really sure how dramatic that effect might be.

What % of his range do you guys think he folds here?

phantom_lord · #8 03-31-2007, 11:31 PM

fold pf btw.

shove as played.

willw9 · #9 03-31-2007, 11:38 PM

[ QUOTE ]
What % of his range do you guys think he folds here?

[/ QUOTE ]

Against an unknown villain, this question is too broad IMO. Some might fold TT here, some might call with J10o.

PwnSauce · #10 04-01-2007, 12:45 AM

[ QUOTE ]
fold pf btw.

shove as played.

[/ QUOTE ]

Do you actually play poker? Wtf are you talking about.