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On page 190 of the LGB there is a table which basically gives you the break even odds for a call in relation to your opponents bet after the flop.
When I was trying to verify the figures in this table, I’m getting different ones for some of them and I listed them below. Not big differences but I guess I want it to be perfect as it could mean the difference between a call or fold if it's not. With the first one of 5.0-1, with 1 card to come it has 9 outs in the table but I get 8........... with a break even percentage of 17% (16.67%) to be exact) the minimum break even for 1 card to come is 8 outs (47-8)/8 = 4.88, to convert to % is 1/5.88 = 17% for turn and slightly higher for river which is 17.4%) For the next one of 3.0-1 it has 13 outs for 1 card to come, but I get 12.......... with a break even percentage of 25% the minimum break even for 1 card is 12 outs (47-12)/12 = 2.92, when converted to % is 1/3.92 = 25.5% for turn and slightly higher for river 26.1%) For the 2.3-1, I get the same as in the book for both 1 and 2 cards to come. For the full pot of 2.0-1, it has 17 outs to break even for 1 more card but I get 16........... with a break even percentage of 33% the minimum break even for 1 card is 16 outs (47-16)/16 = 1.94, when converted to % is 1/2.94 = 34% for turn and slightly higher for river 34.8%) For double the pot of 1.5-1, it has 20 outs for 1 card to come but I get 19............. with a break even percentage of 40% the minimum break even for 1 card is 19 outs (47-19)/19 = 1.47, when converted to % is 1/2.47 = 40.4% for turn and slightly higher for river 41.3%) and for when there is 2 cards to come it has 10 outs but I get 11.............. with a break even percentage of 40%, the minimum break even for 2 cards to come is 11. The break even percentage for 10 outs for 2 cards to come is only 38.4% (1-(47-10)/47)*(46-10)/46), whereas 11 outs has a percentage of 41.72% (1-(47-11)/47)*(46-11)/46) can someone tell me if I'm correct, …or am I just losing my marbles?? [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img] cheers. |
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