friday nba plays

[riccja]

wedn we had an 0-3 day For -3.30 units. All games were close until the 4 th quarter but none of the 3 teams could hang on and cover.

Also I had the rather unpleasant experience of someone messaging me on yahoo complaining. He was rather insulting. So....let me say a few things before I post the plays.

1. This method I am using has been applied only over 364 bets. This is not conclusive to the long run profitablility of this method. Its encouraging but in no way a guarantee making money.

2. If you lose money betting these plays if you need to blame someone for your loss the only one you have to blame is yourself. You elected to make these bets.

3. If you dont have a good money management strategy in place you in all probability will lose all your money because of variance.

4. So far the biggest drop has been around 5 units. That is consistent with a method that has a 13 percent return...So this is also encouraging....but..... at some point I would expect a 15 to 20 unit drawdown.....if you are betting an amount that this would cause you a problem....you are betting too much.

and finally 5. There are very few people that are equipped financially and psychologically to handle the ups and downs of gambling on a daily basis. If your not a professional every instinct you have will attempt and probably will sabotage your success. Human nature runs completely contrary to being a successful professional gambler.

If this discourages you from following these plays then I have accomplished what I have intended to accomplish. For those of you that understand all of the above...good luck!

RickJ
http://rickjshandicappingpicks.blogspot.com/


Only 1 play today in the nba that I can see...also looks like no plays again in the nfl this weekend. Also I am now on betcascade..so my plays are all -105. If your laying -110 you can expect about 2 percent less return.

Washington/orlando under 205.5 -105


Record to date:

mlb
Sides: 17- 14 +6.83
o/u 3-8-1 -5.09
ncaafb
Sides 36-27-1 +9.14
o/u 11-12 -1.63
nfl
Sides 26-9-1 +16.66
o/u 7-4 +2.83
nhl
sides 28-26 +7.31
Nba
Side 54-47-1 +4.72
o/u 19-10 +8.73

Oct: 132 bets + 11.63 units +8.81% Return
Nov: 105 bets + 25.19 units +24.0% Return
Dec: 94 bets + 1.99 units +2.11% Return
Jan: 33 bets + 8.52 units +25.82% Return
Total 364 Bets + 47.33 units +13.00% Return

[rjp]

If everyone had a decent understanding of probability theory then it would keep complaining down. Nothing worse than hearing someone cry because something that's going to happen here and there.

[funkytown]

I've found that the people that whine when things aren't going their way, are the same jerk-offs that never say thanks when you've done them well. Don't sweat it - there are a milliion idiots out there.

[llabb]

All good points, Rick, and anyone who understands sports betting is already comfortable with all of these. Those that don't belong in some sort of BBV sports betting. Perhaps they should be redirected there, or just sic Thremp or ImBen on them to get a good chewing out.

I'm probably going to Cascade as well, just looking for more opinions on their long-term viability/commitment to the US market before comitting funds there.

Unfortunately, I'm on the other side as you for the NBA total, and your totals have been money. Just gotta see how the game plays out, as it's a question of pace, with Washington having a strong history Over that total and Orlando having a strong history Under, and to be determined which tempo they will be playing at, with their matchups this year suggesting the faster pace.

[paperchamp]

[ QUOTE ]
Don't sweat it - there are billions of idiots out there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Fixed.

[McFadden]

Don't sweat it riccja, keep up the good work

[NhlNut]

Don't sweat the idiots. We're responsible for ourselves. [img]/images/graemlins/shocked.gif[/img]

Can't wait for your take on baseball.

[Lori]

[ QUOTE ]
Also I had the rather unpleasant experience of someone messaging me on yahoo complaining. He was rather insulting.

[/ QUOTE ]

I've seen some depressing posts on 2+2 over the years. This is high on the list. Many of us appreciate your time so just a thankyou from this corner.

Lori

[nickmondo]

Post deleted by Performify

[Jordan]

to rick, thanks for the great work. i really appreciate it.