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#1
12-15-2006, 02:01 AM
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Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
I figured out a system of play, after playing 3 million hands of poker and creating about 6 different strategy systems, that yields about 30BB/100 as a winrate at the low stakes levels (25c/50c - $1/2) NL.
Obviously I ain't spilling the beans on this, but I wonder if anyone else (who likely is also not willing to share their secret strategy), is able to sustain a winrate this high. This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game and have played all stakes and varieties to the tune of millions of hands, and I know variance and I can honestly foresee a winrate of at least 16BB/100 sustaining to the 50K hand mark. Can anyone top this? Evan Evans 
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#2
12-15-2006, 02:05 AM
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Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
get a real samplesize, get pics of your stats, get a graph.
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#3
12-15-2006, 02:25 AM
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Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
I have all that. I'm not looking for people to believe me, and I might put up a graph soon enough for the nay sayers. For every 15 posters saying this is not possible, there might be one guy to step up and say, "Yeah, I've been doing that as well."
Evan Evans
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#4
12-15-2006, 02:32 AM
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Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
I averaged about 20BB/hr in a .50/$1 home game with terrible opposition over the course of a full year. But against reasonable opposition, this is impossible. 16BB/100 is a pretty lofty goal. Good luck. If you're not going to present the system for discussion, though, doesn't this belong in BBV?
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#5
12-15-2006, 02:50 AM
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Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
[ QUOTE ]
This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game and have played all stakes and varieties to the tune of millions of hands, and I know variance and I can honestly foresee a winrate of at least 16BB/100 sustaining to the 50K hand mark. [/ QUOTE ] can anyone top a hypothetical prediction of a winrate after playing only 20% of said number of hands? sure i'll top you. i forsee a 200BB/100 winrate after 50,000 hands. ouch, beat you.
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#6
12-15-2006, 03:10 AM
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Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
What you're saying is kind of inconsistent...
First, you have a "secret system" that yields 30BB/100 as a sustainable winrate. In the next breath, you're "forseeing" a 16BB/100 winrate. The same with your sample sizes. One minute you've played several systems through millions of hands, suddenly it's only 13.4k hands. This is a brag post for BBV, at best.
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#10
12-15-2006, 09:25 AM
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Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It
[ QUOTE ]
This is on a sample of 13400 hands, but I am an expert at this game and have played all stakes and varieties to the tune of millions of hands, and I know variance and I can honestly foresee a winrate of at least 16BB/100 sustaining to the 50K hand mark. [/ QUOTE ] Calculate a 99% confidence interval for the winrate. k tnx
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