SD -5 @ KC?? Thoughts please

[Fat Earl]

I actually took this game at 5.5 earlier in the week and am really contemplating pounding it now. I can't see San Diego not winning by at least 10 here. Am I missing something, is LT dead? Anyways all thoughts would be appreciated

-Fat Earl

[easternbloc]

for what it's worth, I've read that KC is 7-3 against the spread the last 10 times they have played at arrowhead as more than a 5 point underdog. I believe the popular reasoning is that aarowhead is a difficult place to play against the chiefs, the chiefs are not as bad as they looked last week against pittsburgh, and laying what is now 6 points to KC at home is a lot. KC has a decent pass defense but is allowing 129 rushing yards per game, which is fairly pourous. san diego, on the other hand has one of the best rushing and passing defenses in the league so far, but that has been against teams like houston, san fran, baltimore and tennesee, practically 4 of the worst offensive teams in the league. so the question I would ask is, how good is san diego's defense really? if rivers can't complete long passes, can they stop up the run? there are certain non-quantifiable issues such as home field advantage and division rivalry.

another issue I would be concerned with is even if san diego does take a lead, will they aggressivly push it? marty could play more conservatively against a stronger opponent than he did against SF, who they must have been pretty confident they could score against at will. it's possible that san diego will win this game by a small margin as a result. that's my take on why SD at -6 may not be a "lock"

[MCS]

5 is a lot of points to lay on the road against a divisional opponent who isn't that bad.

I don't hate it, but I have yet to hear anyone say they like KC here, which makes me suspect that KC +5 is the better side.

[freewheeler]

I love KC in this one. San Diego are good but not as good as perceived. Their opponents have been mostly weak. KC is a funny team but for some reason they do play very well at home most of the time. Home dogs are often live, and I would even call the SU upset here.

[Fat Earl]

good info...gonna save me or cost me a lot, thanks though

-Fat Earl

[MacGuyV]

I don't know what people expected this line to be...8?

[Tofu_boy]

The lines kinda fishy to me.
SD look great last week kicking SF while KC have very bad year also got kill by Pitt last week.
This 2 team is public team which I assume will be alot of people will bet in SD this weeks.
Right now 85% bet is on SD. if the % still get above 80% on sunday then I'll take the house side on this game.
KC +5.5.
GL.

[zOrO2k6]

(Chargers/Chiefs) Chargers -5.5

Ofensive Rank: SD 10 / KC 3
Defensive Rank: SD 11 / KC 7

11 = The number 1 Defense

10 vs 7 = Touchdown
3 vs 11 = Safety

i don't give a damn about KC playing at home, SD 28 KC 7 Final

[easternbloc]

I think a lot of teams could have the number 1 defense if they played 4 of their first 5 games against baltimore, tennesee, houston and SF

[MCS]

[ QUOTE ]
i don't give a damn about KC playing at home

[/ QUOTE ]

Then we should probably ignore your thoughts on the game.