(109) Bubble two pair with short stack about to post

[PacMann]

PartyPoker $109 Speed Tournament, Big Blind is t600 (4 handed) Converter on pregopoker.com

CO (t264)
Button (t1323)
SB (t12886)
Hero (t5527)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with 5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]
<font color="gray">CO folds</font>, <font color="gray">Button folds</font>, SB (Thinks forever) calls t300, Hero checks

Flop: (t1200) 7[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] 3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (2 players)
<font color="red">SB bets t800</font>, Hero??

Last hand he made a big call with AT for all but T200 of his chips on a board of AK8r. So he doesn't seem afraid to gamble with a micro stack about to post.
Preflop I nearly typed in the chat for him to push any two.

[Kn0wClue]

stick it in here. the pot is big enough to take now.

[djames]

I would try for more chips here. Yeah, the pot is decent now, but you've got a great chance to get more chips from the big stack. Why not just call? The only real danger is giving diamonds a peek.

[Kn0wClue]

with other stacks being the way they are taking the pot now is good. any dia,9,8,7,6,4 or him pairing his over card if he has a 7 or 5 could cost us the pot and bust us.

[Eagles]

[ QUOTE ]
I would try for more chips here. Yeah, the pot is decent now, but you've got a great chance to get more chips from the big stack. Why not just call? The only real danger is giving diamonds a peek.

[/ QUOTE ]
Push you don't want a call here.

[djames]

[ QUOTE ]
with other stacks being the way they are taking the pot now is good. any dia,9,8,7,6,4 or him pairing his over card if he has a 7 or 5 could cost us the pot and bust us.

[/ QUOTE ]

Which is why I wouldn't risk a push to win a pot this size. Calling the flop doesn't kill us since we still retain the ability to make future decisions in position.

Also, if he has any piece/draw he might call risking just less than half his stack to virtually win the tournament. If he's got crap, then the turn isn't going to put him ahead &amp; he might bet again.

Of course I expect many people to say push here, but I still am not a fan.

[Austiger]

I think this is a clear push. You have 2 pair. I don't see how you can fold. If you call, you start getting yourself in trouble with scare cards.

[djames]

Anyone comfortable with postflop play care to chime in?

[Austiger]

[ QUOTE ]
Anyone comfortable with postflop play care to chime in?

[/ QUOTE ]

Did you notice that we're on the bubble and there are 2 other players with a combined 1500 chips? If you slowplay this, you're crazy.

[TruFloridaGator]

[ QUOTE ]
Anyone comfortable with postflop play care to chime in?

[/ QUOTE ]

Why are you playing if you are really afraid of any overcard/pair or flush draw here calling? Don't forget that you are in commanding position if he donks this off to you on a draw. How far you are ahead + enourmous amount of FE = instapush.

I understand that you don't want to risk bubbling with those two shorties, but by taking that weak stance you are telling yourself you will never stand up to a big stack on the bubble. No one wants to bust here, but letting a big stack run you over whenever you are second in chips is just asking for less money over time.