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I'll keep it short but will post more numbers if anyone seems to be interested...
This is about a well-known poker game simplification where each player is dealt a sample of the uniform [0,1] distribution. In a show-down, the highest number wins. There have been loads of posts about this, with different betting structions, but to my knowledge never in a tournament set-up. I have done some calculations for this situation and the main result is this: The probability of winning the tournament is not equal to the player's chip share. The correct strategy assuming the opposite is exploitable. These are the betting rules: - the SB posts 1 - the BB posts 2 - both players recieve a "hand" - the SB decides to fold or go all-in - if the SB folds, he loses his 1 to the BB - if the SB raises, the BB either calls or folds - if the BB folds, he loses his 2 to the SB - if the BB calles, the highest "hand" wins the pot For the tournament version: - all-in means raising to the amount of chips the shortstacked has - the SB and BB roles are switched after each hand - the player who loses all his chips loses the tournament At the beginning of the tournament, each player recieves t tournament chips; so there are t big blinds in play. A coin is tossed to decide which player starts in the BB. I calculated the cash equilibria ($), where EV's are in terms of chip amounts, tournament equilibria (T), where EV's are in terms of winning probabilities and the best strategies against the cash optimal strategy (^); for the values t=4, 5, ..., 20. Furthermore, I ran the tournament strategies against each other (TT), the tournament strategie against the cash strategy (T$) and the cash counter-strategty against the cash strategy (^$). For t=20, - the probability of player I winning is: TT: .50 T$: .52 ^$: .57 - with a 1:3 chip disadvantage, in the SB: TT: .24 T$: .30 ^$: .38 - in the BB: TT: .25 T$: .30 ^$: .39 - 3:1 chip advantage, SB: TT: .75 T$: .76 ^$: .79 - BB: TT: .76 T$: .77 ^$: .80 Are these numbers too close to .50, .25 and .75 to matter? Not in my opinion. I don't know (yet) how these results compare to a HE version but hey - it's someting! All comments and questions are appreciated (by me), Regards, Well. |
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