AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed

[DirteAA]

Villain was running about 27/19/2 over 300ish hands and may think I like to bluff. I had 3b him a couple orbits earlier w/ QTs and cbet a flop of J 8 3 rainbow, he called flop w/ AQ and we checked turn and river.

I am running about 22/17/3 over 80ish hands at this point.

How should I proceed on this turn?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $150.55
UTG+1: $39.50
CO: $98
Button: $177.30
SB: $99
Hero: $104.15

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises to $3.5</font>, SB folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $13</font>, Button calls.

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($26.5, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $21</font>, Button calls.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($68.5, 2 players)
Hero has $70 left

[hemstock]

I would push....

[Fat Nicky]

[ QUOTE ]
I would push....

[/ QUOTE ]

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I would push....

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

[JJBuffone]

I agree with the others...definite push.

[GemeniSWE]

Push screams FD. If villain got the Qc10c you are 2.9 to 1 underdog. Villain get 2 to 1 on his money and get 1.5 to 1 on the money so he would call (if he have AcQc its even worse) . Its a tricky situation. I would probably push...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

44 games 0.005 secs 8,800 games/sec

Board: 9c 6d Qd 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.273% 27.27% 00.00% 12 0.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 72.727% 72.73% 00.00% 32 0.00 { AcQc }


---

44 games 0.016 secs 2,750 games/sec

Board: 9c 6d Qd 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.091% 34.09% 00.00% 15 0.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 65.909% 65.91% 00.00% 29 0.00 { QcTc }

[eigenvalue]

Push. Because of your earlier raising patterns, you left yourself no other choice.

[zslaszlo]

What about betting only $50 on turn?
If he folds for $70 probably he will folds for $50 too.
If he calls, and I miss the river i save $20 with c/f.

[wdead]

push, not betting all in here looks fishy

[DirteAA]

Interesting. I talked with a fellow 2p2er yesterday about this hand and he felt like pushing was a spew, and I ended up agreeing with him. We felt like villain isn't folding anything decent here b/c of the hand I mentioned where I 3b PF and cbet flop w/ Q high.

I did push and he called w/ AQ. I wasn't surprised at his call though considering our one hand of history. AdKd is the worst hand I push with here and 90% of the time I have him crushed...I guess he just felt like I sucked lol.

No diamond on the riv.