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-   -   AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed (http://archives1.twoplustwo.com/showthread.php?t=336402)

DirteAA 02-20-2007 01:32 AM

AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
Villain was running about 27/19/2 over 300ish hands and may think I like to bluff. I had 3b him a couple orbits earlier w/ QTs and cbet a flop of J 8 3 rainbow, he called flop w/ AQ and we checked turn and river.

I am running about 22/17/3 over 80ish hands at this point.

How should I proceed on this turn?

Full Tilt Poker
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.50/$1
6 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
UTG: $150.55
UTG+1: $39.50
CO: $98
Button: $177.30
SB: $99
Hero: $104.15

Pre-flop: (6 players) Hero is BB with A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
3 folds, <font color="#cc0000">Button raises to $3.5</font>, SB folds, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises to $13</font>, Button calls.

Flop: 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] ($26.5, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">Hero bets $21</font>, Button calls.

Turn: 8[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] ($68.5, 2 players)
Hero has $70 left

hemstock 02-20-2007 01:34 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
I would push....

Fat Nicky 02-20-2007 01:35 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
[ QUOTE ]
I would push....

[/ QUOTE ]

Thremp 02-20-2007 04:08 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I would push....

[/ QUOTE ]

[/ QUOTE ]

JJBuffone 02-20-2007 04:25 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
I agree with the others...definite push.

GemeniSWE 02-20-2007 05:08 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
Push screams FD. If villain got the Qc10c you are 2.9 to 1 underdog. Villain get 2 to 1 on his money and get 1.5 to 1 on the money so he would call (if he have AcQc its even worse) . Its a tricky situation. I would probably push...

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

44 games 0.005 secs 8,800 games/sec

Board: 9c 6d Qd 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 27.273% 27.27% 00.00% 12 0.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 72.727% 72.73% 00.00% 32 0.00 { AcQc }


---

44 games 0.016 secs 2,750 games/sec

Board: 9c 6d Qd 8s
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 34.091% 34.09% 00.00% 15 0.00 { AdKd }
Hand 1: 65.909% 65.91% 00.00% 29 0.00 { QcTc }

carnivalhobo 02-20-2007 05:09 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
[ QUOTE ]
Push screams FD.

[/ QUOTE ]

or KK or AA or QQ or basically any hand hero makes it to the turn with that isnt air.

cs3 02-20-2007 08:12 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
i actually think that pushing only folds out a small part of his range, specifically JJ.

checking and hoping he checks behind may be the correct play here, but im not disciplined enough to fold this hand if he bets so i jsut push

medgar 02-20-2007 08:47 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
What about looking to c/r allin on flop btw? Stacks seem pretty good for it, we got outs to hit if called and it's not a disaster if he checks behind?

eigenvalue 02-20-2007 09:47 AM

Re: AK 3b pot OOP, flop fd, wiff turn, how to proceed
 
Push. Because of your earlier raising patterns, you left yourself no other choice.


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