SD -5 @ KC?? Thoughts please

[legend42]

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I can't see San Diego not winning by at least 10 here.

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I remember when I used to tap out on road favorites, too.

[anatta]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I can't see San Diego not winning by at least 10 here.

[/ QUOTE ]

I remember when I used to tap out on road favorites, too.

[/ QUOTE ]

Last year, "Road favorites finished an incredible 48-29-4 (62.3 percent), burying long-time 'home dog' bettors on the year."

http://www.procappers.com/article.php?ArticleID=6985


I used to believe that you can't bet road fav vs. division opponent. I don't think these axioms hold water anymore. I think many so called "sharps" abide by them, so it scews the line.

Charger blew out OAK (#1 rival and division foe - and not HOUSTON as some have stated in this thread) and SF as road favs and easily covered.

[E.Z.]

my thoughts are san diego could very well be among the top 2 teams in the league. but we don't know that yet and rivers is due for an average game....and arrowhead is a prime spot.
IMO this line should 2.5 or 3 for SD

[vexel77]

http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com/showfl...rue#Post7726377

[fnurt]

If someone held a gun to my head I take KC in this one... sometimes they win it big, it's just the nature of the rivalry. But absent a gun-holding scenario I stay far away from this one.

[vexel77]

Yeah that was my final conclusion on this one, its just to tough to call.

[boscoboy]

absent a gun-holding scenario I stay far away from this one.

[glass_onion]

I try not to analyse statistics as much, but watch as many games as possible. KC is the most up and down team in the league, and looked HORRIBLE last week. It appears that SD is the top 3 teams in the league. While KC can light it up randomly, and are at home, they simply look too out of sync and SD to in sync.

[Jibba]

I'm with the OP on this one. LT2 runs wild on a bad rush defense.

[MacGuyV]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I can't see San Diego not winning by at least 10 here.

[/ QUOTE ]

I remember when I used to tap out on road favorites, too.

[/ QUOTE ]

Last year, "Road favorites finished an incredible 48-29-4 (62.3 percent), burying long-time 'home dog' bettors on the year."

http://www.procappers.com/article.php?ArticleID=6985


I used to believe that you can't bet road fav vs. division opponent. I don't think these axioms hold water anymore. I think many so called "sharps" abide by them, so it scews the line.

Charger blew out OAK (#1 rival and division foe - and not HOUSTON as some have stated in this thread) and SF as road favs and easily covered.

[/ QUOTE ]

Well not every homefield is the same. The Raiders have been an abysmal home team for over a decade vs. AFC West foes. In fact I'm positive without looking it up that in the last 20 years, the road team has a better straight up record in the Chargers/Raiders series, including both the Chargers & Raiders SB years in 94 and 02. When the Chiefs split with a division foe, both home teams win almost always.