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#11
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[ QUOTE ]
Well he didn't really cold call, he was BB and just called 1 bet to him. [/ QUOTE ] Bah, what the hell was I high on last night. Ignore me, I can't read. |
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#12
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[ QUOTE ]
Well he didn't really cold call, he was BB and just called 1 bet to him. As a blind defender He is very likely to have an A (a lot of people with defend with Ax), given the action I'd say A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] is very likely, still the river bet is scary but I suppose we only need him to fold like 20% of the time? . . . and he will surely fold A[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] more than that [/ QUOTE ] I think a good player will play the A [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]x far more aggressively on that board than this guy did. Still seems like he's drawing tho. Maybe Q [img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]. |
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#13
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] A somewhat solid villain who cold calls you preflop and then proceeds to call you down with a raggy board is probably holding a pocket pair. [/ QUOTE ] I think most good players fold their low pocket pairs here on the flop unless they have a decent draw. And I think a solid player folds a PP enough of the time unimproved to make the river bet +EV. [/ QUOTE ] If I bet this river, it's to fold out Ax hands. Low pockets without a diamond usually find a fold earlier. Low pockets with a diamond fold rarely. If he holds 4[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] here, I expect him to call the river about 98% of the time |
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