Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I'm Doing It

[Evan Evans]

[ QUOTE ]
Over what 15k in hands?This just is a good run mate.Your BB/100 will drop.Example i played 200nl today 91 hands 900 profit crazy BB/100.A few sessions like this in short hand peroids sustains crazy win rates but over say 60-100k hands you should take a look at the whole picture

[/ QUOTE ]Yeah. I'm not sure, so that's why I posted for feedback. I am going to go in there and calculate the confidence rate today, I'll post it here along with some other stats.

Evan Evans

[Evan Evans]

[ QUOTE ]
evan,

i have 90 hands at 5/10nl and i am a winning player, should i go pro?

[/ QUOTE ]Well, I think if you want a serious answer, you should make a serious post. Sarcasm is veiled insecurity.

Evan Evans

[Evan Evans]

[ QUOTE ]

You need:
a) Winrate over the sample (x)
b) Number of hands (n)
c) Standard Deviation (found on the "More Info" window) (s)

You can then calculate it as follows:

For a 95% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 1.96 * s/sqrt(n)

For a 99% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 2.5758 * s/sqrt(n)

Standard Deviations tend to be pretty large, so expect the ranges to be large, as well.

[/ QUOTE ]Ok, here's what PT shows currently on a set of:

12607 hands
11.73 BB/100
30.7998 Big Bets SD/100

So, uh, what's that do for you? How do I reverse engineer a confidence rate from those numbers?

Evan Evans

[smellmuth]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

You need:
a) Winrate over the sample (x)
b) Number of hands (n)
c) Standard Deviation (found on the "More Info" window) (s)

You can then calculate it as follows:

For a 95% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 1.96 * s/sqrt(n)

For a 99% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 2.5758 * s/sqrt(n)

Standard Deviations tend to be pretty large, so expect the ranges to be large, as well.

[/ QUOTE ]Ok, here's what PT shows currently on a set of:

12607 hands
11.73 BB/100
30.7998 Big Bets SD/100

So, uh, what's that do for you? How do I reverse engineer a confidence rate from those numbers?

Evan Evans

[/ QUOTE ]

for the biggest winner in poker ever, you suck at math. he gave you the goddam formula. you dont have a calculator?

[MyTurn2Raise]

the PT stdev formula is off and not a true measure of variation....this was recently discussed in the SSNL thread on 30+ buyin downswings

[TormentMe]

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My IQ is above 150

[/ QUOTE ]

For a 150+ iq your spelling is pretty poor. Which makes me think youre not telling the truth about a lot of things

[/ QUOTE ]Actually, once you hit this high of an IQ you realize that people's petty observations about spelling are trivial in comparison to our place in the Multiverse. So I don't waste my time satiating lesser evolved person's desires, when I can do much more for the human race with my time. It's usually the "almost smart" people who try to correct people all the time.

Evan Evans

[/ QUOTE ]

Wow you must be smart if you crammed a bunch of the biggest words you know into a paragraph!

[/ QUOTE ]Wow, you must not be if you didn't learn from them (obviously based on your reply).

[/ QUOTE ]

You forgot to say Evan Evans, dont want to get ppl confused as to who made the post.

[Evan Evans]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]

You need:
a) Winrate over the sample (x)
b) Number of hands (n)
c) Standard Deviation (found on the "More Info" window) (s)

You can then calculate it as follows:

For a 95% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 1.96 * s/sqrt(n)

For a 99% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 2.5758 * s/sqrt(n)

Standard Deviations tend to be pretty large, so expect the ranges to be large, as well.

[/ QUOTE ]Ok, here's what PT shows currently on a set of:

12607 hands
11.73 BB/100
30.7998 Big Bets SD/100

So, uh, what's that do for you? How do I reverse engineer a confidence rate from those numbers?

Evan Evans

[/ QUOTE ]

for the biggest winner in poker ever, you suck at math. he gave you the goddam formula. you dont have a calculator?

[/ QUOTE ]No he didn't. What he gave isn't even an equation. You go ahead and try and solve it.

Evan Evans

[Evan Evans]

[ QUOTE ]
the PT stdev formula is off and not a true measure of variation....this was recently discussed in the SSNL thread on 30+ buyin downswings

[/ QUOTE ]Yeah I read that one. How about PO? Does it give these stats?

Evan Evans

[Evan Evans]

Oh alright. I get it. It's not clear if the SD or #hands needs to be in PER 100 or not.
Evan Evans

[alphatmw]

i'm taking all bets that evan evans calculated his 150+ IQ from here

http://web.tickle.com/tests/uiq/index_main.jsp