4/180 - value bet straight on the river?

[miw210]

In retrospect, my thoughts:

1. Turn call by BB probably means either a weak king, midpair, or a club draw. TPTK, two pair, or set easily shoves I think.
2. Flop and Turn calls by MP2 probably means either a club, maybe even a straight draw with so much already in the pot.
3. River checks by both players probably means neither of them has a made hand. BB probably has a weak king or midpair, MP2 a whiffed straight draw.
4. If BB does has a weak king, there's no way BB can fold to a push by the river.

Is this a good line of thinking? [img]/images/graemlins/confused.gif[/img]