$16 - AQ vs UTG raising LAGG

[JLaw]

First realize he's pot committed and thus you have no fold equity -- you must show down the best hand to win.

Second realize that while he probably has opened his UTG range, he's not terribly desperate. He could let the blinds hit which would take him to 8.5BBs.

His UTG open range is normally going to be less than 10%, but given the stage of the game, he needs to open up. So one question to answer is how much those factors change his opening range. For the sake of argument let's say they cancel each other out netting us a 10% open range.

If it were just the two of you, I think it's an easy push. With 3 players to act behind you it gets more complex. How wide will the players behind call/overpush? Let's assume they see a raise and a push and thus call/overpush with only AA, KK.


Given that scenario, this is an easy fold.

You don't want to shove until his open range hits around 15% . And again, we're assuming the players behind are only going to enter with AA KK.

Jeff