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Old 10-30-2007, 11:54 AM
ImNotSoGood ImNotSoGood is offline
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Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 361
Default Re: $119 FTP Interesting bubble hand

I don't like this play just because both of them will fold so rarely, and yes you have a ton of dead $ in the pot, but the SB shows up here with huge hands often enough to really hurt your equity.

Ftbplaya is a donkey, his play was awful as it usually is, but Jawarhalo is actually decent, and I'm 95% sure that he was trying to stop n' go here.

This is a good play if the villains are donkeys, but replace one of the villains with a decent player and the range tightens up so much. If a good player open raises the button like this he is a) not folding b) generally very strong. If a decent player calls out of the small blind he is also rarely ever folding, and is either trapping or trying to stop n go. A good sb's cold calling range here is generally heavily weighted toward AA, and then something like 88-JJ, ATs+, and AJo+ if he's looking to stop n go.

Your equity against that range is just under 30%, and you need alot more dead $ to make the shove profitable.
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