Top pair and OE on turn

[Stalrock]

[ QUOTE ]
I think this is a fold, you say given the odds, but the odds are offering just over 2:1 and you are almost certainly behind right now.

If he has AK you are dead and that is definitely well within his range. The other hands I put him on are 2pr hands QT/QJ/TJ and with those you are looking at best 13 outs, more likely 11.

The fact you have a read that until now every time he's raised he's had a hand suggests you need to let this one go.

If you bet slightly more on the flop & turn the pot would be a fair bit bigger which would make calling easier. Another line which I'll probably get abused for would be checking the turn to induce a river bluff. If he calls a turn bet then he's pretty much going to be playing for stacks so if you aren't happy about doing that you can control the size of the pot by checking behind.

[/ QUOTE ]

good analysis. thanks man.