Latest cliffsnotes on Absolute soulreading.

[knappis]

[ QUOTE ]
1) Could you please explain why certain key stats are missing?
2) Why do you think that the stats are dependent on each other?
3) How do you like modelling this case, what assumptions to you use and what model would you like to use?
4) You want us to believe this guy isn´t cheating, he plays an extrem maniac style of poker and his chipdumping can be explained because of his high SD. Is this correct?
5) How can you assume that a TAG grinder could show winning stats similar to this guy?

[/ QUOTE ]

1)To be able to model river play I need to know how often he saw river.
2)Do you think the stats are independent? Is SD of winnings independent of vpip and river agression?
3)I'm not sure yet. I was just trying to figure out a simple model to test the probability of this guys river play.
4)I dont want you to beleive this guy isn't cheating. I'm trying to figure that out myself. However, I do try to provide better estimates than the ones that has been flying around in this thread and probably convinced half the poker world that he must have been cheating because it is one chance in 10^20 or at least one in a billion he didn't.
5) Read again. I didn't assume a TAG could show these winning stats, I said that that would be very suspicios.