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Old 09-23-2007, 01:38 PM
DrVanNostrin DrVanNostrin is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: throwing my cards at the dealer
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Default Re: 99.99890581% chance that cheaters were operating on Absolute?

It's not fair to only analize 25 hands because you've observed him for more than 25 hands. It is much more likely than you claim that would have a streak of 25 hands where he played very well (FTOP terms) preflop since he's played more than 25 hands.

Also you're assuming that 90% is his true VPIP. 90% is a statistic in this case, not a parameter.

edit: you also should look at whether he was the SB or BB when he folded and how his VPIP differs in the SB vs. the BB.
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