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Old 08-22-2007, 02:25 PM
dilligaf817 dilligaf817 is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Springfield, IL
Posts: 96
Default Re: How -EV is this call?

[ QUOTE ]
I wouldn't say the call was horrible. The way he played this screams flush draw, or maybe weak TP, or a complete bluff pushing back thinking the preflop aggressor missed the flop (very unlikely in this spot though). In this scenario, I typically don't expect villain to turn over much better than Kh Jh, which you're still beating by a very slim margin. Another AJ is obviously possible, including Ah Jh, but most stronger hands would have either reraised preflop or would check the flop here.

Overall, you basically just put yourself in a bad position with the PF min-raise. There's a good argument for both sides here IMO, which makes the play very read-dependant. Without a read though I guess I'd have a small lean toward calling given about 1.4 to 1 on your money.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thank you for the reply.

The reason I ended up calling is because I thought he pushes with any J, 10, or KQ here. (Q-9, or two low flush cards I dismissed because he would have dumped it before the flop. Yes, even to a minraise). A-J crossed my mind, but of course I wasn't concerned because I had that tied (although he was freerolling in my case); anyway, I had that on the low spectrum because I thought he would have shoved PF.

It all goes back to the minraise I realize, although it plays out faster post-flop if I raise to 1200 or 1600. Personally, I don't like shoving PF here. I think I am risking too much with the BB in his situation and my image at the table, which widens the SB and BB calling range.
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