Now Iran?!?!

[Copernicus]

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What makes you think that the USA government wont go into Iran? Bush has been hinting at this since 911. If a Republican gets elected in 2008, any terrorist attack against the USA will probably result in a attacks on Iran.

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I wouldn't say they won't, BUT, militarily it's a WHOLLY different escapade. I wrote a lengthy post about the complications months back but can't find via search. Let's just say the picture includes destroyed aircraft carriers (7000 dead in one shot along with the $5B strateic asset caput) casualties on a scale that make the mounting death toll in Iraq look tiny and insignificant, not to mention a serious threat to the world's oils supply as most of it has to transit the Straight of Hormuz, right by good old Iranian shores.

Conventionally it could be done, but the cost in assets, lives, and economic disaster, make it a far less likely undertaking, especially in the current political climate within the US.

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But after another major terrorist attack the political climate won't be the current one. What may change due to the experience in Iraq is strength of a worldwide coalition and a change of strategy, not necessarily to nukes but to sustained air attacks and MOABs that level vast areas followed by a real sealing off of the borders.