Donkey Test

[cheburashka]

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This is a very straightforward "all-in preflop equity" question. Shorter than the other players, we have very little fold equity, so we can expect that our shove will likely get called and have to win a showdown. With only 5BB, we're well into fold-or-shove territory.

We do, however, have 3 orbits worth of blinds left, so we can afford to wait for a hand in what, the top 20%?

T3o is well below average in terms of all-in preflop equity, even against a random hand. If I were going to be put all-in on the next hand by the big blind, I'd fold T3 and take the random hand instead.

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I dunno, and I'd like to hear some other opinions (Kip, are you going to weigh in on this one?)

Certainly you are correct that T3o is a worse-than-average hand, and if the hand were all that mattered you would obviously be right. However, it seems to me that the fact that the hand has been folded to us in middle position is very important here. How likely are we before the blinds come to have the opportunity to open? Also, I think you're much too quick to say that we have no fold equity--are the remaining players really going to be so quick to risk 20% of their stacks?

I recently posted a similar hand on MTT, and I asked "What range should I shove with?" Some people said ATC, others defined a range that was pretty wide, but certainly did not include T3o.