Friggin freeroll

[JavaNut]

There is a great chance that he has something like AJTx, but there are only 4 outs for him to win with a better straight. He might have two spades for a flush draw as well, giving him more outs. Lets us discount the 7 of spades which will give you a boat, leaving 8 outs for a flush.

So at worst 12 cards will see you loose, 4 will see you win (any 9 or 7) and the remaining 32 makes it a tie.

Going all-in you get about 1.4-1 pot odds. Your changes of winning are 4/48 + .5*32/48 = 34% which is about 1.9-1, which means the pot odds aren't sufficient in the worst case. As you cannot be sure it is the worst case you are very close.

But what about just calling him on the turn with the intension to fold to any JT or spade (except 7[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img]) on the river? You would then get 2-1 pot odds which are ok. And he will not fold to a river bet if a 9 or 7 comes. That would leave you with a stack of $170 in third and lots to play for still.

But you still have to consider that he has a range of hands not just AJTx specifically.