100NL: Turned Straight on Dangerous River

[a breath of air]

Full Tilt Poker - No Limit Hold'em Cash Game - $0.50/$1 Blinds - 6 Players - (LegoPoker HH Converter)

SB: $89.50
Hero (BB): $397.75
UTG: $123.30
MP: $42.60
CO: $53.65
BTN: $84.10

Preflop: Hero is dealt K Q (6 Players)
2 folds, CO calls $1.00, BTN folds, SB calls $0.50, <font color="red">Hero raises to $4.00</font>, CO calls $3.00, SB calls $3.00

Flop: ($12) A J[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 5[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img] (3 Players)
SB checks, Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($12) T[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets $8.00</font>, <font color="red">Hero raises to $22.50</font>, CO folds, SB calls $14.50

River: ($57) J (2 Players)
<font color="red">SB bets all-in for $63.00</font>, Hero ???

[HaiaN]

no reads?

[a breath of air]

Small sample size so these are not very useful: 14/7/3(29)

[The.Accountant]

i don't know if this is a fold.. but i'd say you're beat here...oh...99% of the time.

the other 1% he has 65 or A5 or 72 or something.

[zaephyr]

i am felting this, i really doubt he would call turn raise with lone jack

[Capone]

I'd call.

[a breath of air]

[ QUOTE ]
i don't know if this is a fold.. but i'd say you're beat here...oh...99% of the time.

the other 1% he has 65 or A5 or 72 or something.

[/ QUOTE ]

I think 99% may be slightly high. I would say my opponent's range is likely AA, JJ, TT, 55, KQ, AJ, KJ, QJ, or JT. Giving my opponent the benefit of the doubt because of the small sample size I would omit AK and AQ from his or her range.

[Casper05]

fold

[a breath of air]

[ QUOTE ]
fold

[/ QUOTE ]

Please explain why.

[FishSticks]

I would probably fold.

On the turn, you really should raise more, closer to a pot sized raise. It will get you more value (obviously), but it will also make the stack sizes more favorable on the river (villain will have like 1/2 or 2/3 pot left instead of just over pot).