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#22
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[ QUOTE ]
Value betting with a strong non-flush hand when checked to on the river flush card is a +EV play because you get paid off by a whole lot of worse hands which more than makes up for the times you lose to a flush. Most of the players calling along will pay off one more bet to see your hand. Checking is "weak" relative to value betting. [/ QUOTE ] i know. nothing new. it works in higher limits. but on these limits here with 5+ players on the river, in 95% you meet the flush for sure. In lower limits players tend to play suited cards more often and to hang around with them than in medium or higher limits for which value-betting on the river has been originally designed. So you need about 10% pot equity to justify a bet in exactly this spot here. You have only 5%, perhaps less. If you bet despite this for value your +EV exist only in your holdem books and the -EV in your real poker life. |
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