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Old 04-17-2007, 04:13 PM
whynot? whynot? is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2005
Posts: 525
Default Re: 650 wsop sat qq with 44 left

I'd hate myself but i'd have to fold.

i'd put villain mostly on a made hand and he's way overbetting to get you to drop any draws, may of hit trips, could possibly be kk and wanted to see a non-ace flop before pushing, could be jj but i doubt if he pushes around an utg raiser like that when he doesnt have to. in reality villain doesnt need to do anything to most likely get the seat - is he smart enough to know that? suspect he is but thats very read dependent. if he's hasnt been pushing his stack around he's got a real hand

even if he's pushing with a draw which is a small percent of his holdings, your probably only a 60/40 in fav of winning and virtually guaranteeing yourself a seat.


think this becomes an easy fold and look for short-mid stacks to pick on
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