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Old 04-15-2007, 12:35 AM
RunDownHouse RunDownHouse is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Nashville
Posts: 10,810
Default Re: Really Rich Guys - Top 10 Traders

crazy,

I thought Buffet had been a stud for three decades or more. Am I wrong? If not, is he a complete outlier or aberration? If not, what's the problem in your correlation between Kelly curves and market success?

My understanding of the Kelly criteria come almost completely from a paper by Stephen Levitt (author of Freakonomics), in which he discusses NFL gambling markets. From what I picked up, Kelly's criterion dictate an optimal bet size that dictate a bet size that guarantees NOT going busto.

Assuming that my understanding of Kelly is correct - that a perfect Kelly bettor has no chance of going busto, as you stated - I'm not sure where the disconnect is.
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