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Old 04-05-2007, 09:28 AM
aurelien aurelien is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: London
Posts: 15
Default Re: NL 5/10 AA on Flop QdJh10h

My idea is the following is :

Since I am aggressive, I guess his range of hands (for an apparently tight player) could go from 88+ to AQo+ (KQs?). I did not make anybody think I am loose, I am just aggressive. Therefore, if the player is a fairly good poker player, I assume that he will play differently a set (10 J or Q) on the turn.
Then, because a J does not belong to his range of hands, the only hands who could beat is AK and he could have AQ, 99, KK or KQs.

But I agree AK is more likely than KQs (for example) despite the reduce number of AK possible.

Then, in my opinion, if you agree to my assumptions, the question is reduced as a simple calcul of odds. I did not caculate it, I might but I think I am ahead.

Your opinion?
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