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#27
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Really, what is more likely, that Phil Ivey has been 3 standard deviations to the lucky side of the curve, or 3 standard deviations to the unlucky side? [/ QUOTE ] It's EQUALLY likely he's at either, because the amount of luck over that period of time is so small that it doesn't matter. The small factor of luck is nothing compared to the level of skill. Where Ivey falls on the luck curve doesn't matter, because over time the amount of luck involved is just way too small to matter. [/ QUOTE ] You say my argument is sad, and then you say the above? To argue that Phil Ivey is just as likely to have been very unlucky as very lucky is ridiculous. Saying that the amount of luck involved is way too small to matter is just beyond belief. |
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