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#21
03-01-2007, 06:59 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
I'm not folding yet, thats for sure.
Given the stack and fish situation he could easily be coldcalling with a wider range here, but AA is still AA, and unless he flopped a flush or a set you're still ahead. Much of his range will be things like KcK, QcQ, or even KK with no club. So I think call, lead safe turn is a good plan. Although stack sizes aren't too good for either a medium lead or a shove. oh well, either works. you could even get tricky and check the turn to him. actually i kinda like that. 
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#22
03-01-2007, 07:01 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
[ QUOTE ]
surely his range is still mostly big pairs, with the CC pre, right? in a normal situation, i would call, and bomb a blank turn (most likely shoving) here, I think it's a lot closer since it sucks to give up a big stack when you have the jesus seat on the megadonk with a big stack, and since apparently his CCing range is a bit wider, and contains a lot more hands that have us in bad->realbad shape the fact that you lose so much future EV when you lose this pot might swing it to a fold [/ QUOTE ] agreed. though i'm guessing i'd prolly end up calling and c/f turn.
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#23
03-01-2007, 07:02 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
seems like the only time you're ahead of CO is when he has KcKx / QcQx
i really dont mind a flop fold. im not sure everyone is remembering that the UTG donk folded and it's now back to Hero heads up vs the CO regular
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#24
03-01-2007, 07:03 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
[ QUOTE ]
I'm not folding yet, thats for sure. Given the stack and fish situation he could easily be coldcalling with a wider range here, but AA is still AA, and unless he flopped a flush or a set you're still ahead. Much of his range will be things like KcK, QcQ, or even KK with no club. So I think call, lead safe turn is a good plan. Although stack sizes aren't too good for either a medium lead or a shove. oh well, either works. you could even get tricky and check the turn to him. actually i kinda like that. [/ QUOTE ] AGreed. u people saying folding are a lil crazy.
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#26
03-01-2007, 07:08 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
[ QUOTE ]
point: if we stack CO we have enough chips to take on the donk's whole empire. perhaps that makes it worth our while to be optimistic? [/ QUOTE ] do you think we EVER stack CO here? unless he has specifically KK/QQ with a club and we fade, i dont see it happening. hes a TAG regular and we'd be showing an ass load of strength continuing with the hand here.
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#27
03-01-2007, 07:09 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
[ QUOTE ]
point: if we stack CO we have enough chips to take on the donk's whole empire. perhaps that makes it worth our while to be optimistic? [/ QUOTE ] we don't need as many men as him since we're a better field general. We win a few skirmishes and we'll have same # of men.
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#28
03-01-2007, 07:14 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] I'm not folding yet, thats for sure. Given the stack and fish situation he could easily be coldcalling with a wider range here, but AA is still AA, and unless he flopped a flush or a set you're still ahead. Much of his range will be things like KcK, QcQ, or even KK with no club. So I think call, lead safe turn is a good plan. Although stack sizes aren't too good for either a medium lead or a shove. oh well, either works. you could even get tricky and check the turn to him. actually i kinda like that. [/ QUOTE ] AGreed. u people saying folding are a lil crazy. [/ QUOTE ] It is definitely not as clear cut as some ppl are making out. NO WAY!!!
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#29
03-01-2007, 07:23 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
I feel like I'm in the twilight zone. I shove all day. He can be isoraising really easily with a worse hand (you said donk was bad enough to call even this reraise on the flop really really thinly), or protecting a worse one.
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#30
03-01-2007, 07:30 PM
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Re: AA interesting spot (3/6 NL)
[ QUOTE ]
I shove all day [/ QUOTE ] why do you think shoving is > call/lead turn? we are not way ahead of most of the hands in his range here, and our equity improves dramatically when we get it in on a blank turn sometimes, we get blown off the best hand, when a club hits, but how often are we ahead here, when a club hits, anyway?
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