$22 paired board itm

[sputniks]

During the server restart I'm reviewing all the hands in notepad.. How's the hand-reading below? +eq or spew? I thought this was an interesting one, and I could really use some perspective on the villain's range.

I don't remember anything remarkable about him, so call him an average $22 player.

Preflop: I don't raise because it'd require 1/4 of my stack and I don't think he was open completing all the time, either.

Flop: After he checks I pot trying to take it down immediately. To me his check-minraise shows either a monster (QQ+, all hands he might complete with) or he recognized that because he showed weakness checking in position my bet could be a stab, and he's trying to resteal recognizing that QQ+ would occur to me and I'm short-stacked.

I'm thinking he might open complete and check-minraise with Kx, Qx, JJ+. On the other hand JT, any ace, two clubs, and low pairs all seem unlikely for a ocomp-chk-mr. I call ready to reevaluate on the turn.

Turn: If he really held a K I'd expect him to either check the scare card or bet stronger--400 just didn't feel right for a king, FWIW, and Kx is a bit less likely with the paired board. I push with the idea of folding out AA, QT, QJ, and single clubs higher than my 9c.

Thanks for your help.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Tournament
Blinds: t100/t200
3 players
Converter

Stack sizes:
Button: t6810
SB: t3940
Hero: t2750

Pre-flop: (3 players) Hero is BB with 9[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]
Button folds, SB calls t100 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t300)</font>, Hero checks.

Flop: Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 6[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (t400, 2 players)
SB checks, <font color="#cc0000">Hero bets t400</font>, <font color="#cc0000">SB raises to t800</font>, Hero calls t400 <font color="aaaaaa">(pot was t1600)</font>.

Turn: K[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] (t2000, 2 players)
<font color="#cc0000">SB bets t400</font>, <font color="#cc0000">Hero raises all-in t1750</font>, SB ?

[DevinLake]

I don't like this hand at all.

Preflop: Standard.

Flop: Yea, bet once he checks to you. But, I'd fold the his c/r. You only have MP with a weak kicker. What do you think he's doing this with? A flush draw or straight draw?

Turn: Ok, if he was on a draw, the flush draw just got there. Sure it's a small bet, this guy obviously doesn't have much of a clue. But, he shown enough interest in this hand for me to not like Q9 very well at all.

[durron597]

i don't see any value in betting the flop here

[jafeather]

What DevinLake said.

Also, I'm kinda impressed with the amount of thought you put into a Q9 hand. I think it may be over-thinking in this particular case....but if you're applying the same level of thought to a lot of your hands you could be dangerous.

[shakyamuni]

[ QUOTE ]
Flop: Yea, bet once he checks to you.

[/ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
i don't see any value in betting the flop here

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mod dual!

I don't see a problem in betting this flop but make it less ~t300 so you can get away if he has something. t300 and t400 accomplish the same thing

[jafeather]

[ QUOTE ]
i don't see any value in betting the flop here

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I don't mind it much. I think pot-betting may be a bit much....I prefer 250-300 here. If you can get away from this hand if villian calls or raises then I think betting here is +EV.