DERB

[adios]

Notice you don't support the notion that the EV is -1 BB. The pot is laying you such a price that if you lose 94% of the time or less it's +EV. You claim that the overcall will lose at best 98% of the time. How accurate are your estimates and how do you know how accurate they are? Personally I don't think mine are accurate enough to be precise in distinguishing between 94% of the time and 98% with any degree of certainty. But I'm a pedestrian player.