Official November thread: General Discussion, Goals, Winrates, etc

[Josh.]

[ QUOTE ]
I have a question about winrates...Is there any way to know what range your true win rate will fall in in the long run if you know your win rate over some sample size?

[/ QUOTE ]


winrate with 95% confidence = winrate +/- 3*SD/sqrt(#hands/100)

get SD from session notes tab in PT and the more detail button. this is just a rough estimate since i doubt NLHE hands are normally distributed

[younghov17]

[ QUOTE ]
Reasons why Younghov shouldn't complain.

FullTiltPoker Game #1168523321: Table Anya (heads up) -

$5/$10 - No Limit Hold'em - 22:06:14 ET - 2006/10/29
Seat 1: MTblue ($1,387)
Seat 2: noluck17 ($1,094)
noluck17 posts the small blind of $5
MTblue posts the big blind of $10
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to MTblue [Ah As]
noluck17 raises to $30
MTblue raises to $90
noluck17 calls $60
*** FLOP *** [4c 5s Jd]
MTBlue checks
noluck17 bets $110
MTBlue raises to $333
noluck17 raises to $1,004, and is all in
MTblue calls $671
noluck17 shows [6d 6c]
MTblue shows [Ah As]
*** TURN *** [4c 5s Jd] [Js]
*** RIVER *** [4c 5s Jd Js] [8d]
noluck17 shows two pair, Jacks and Sixes
Hero shows two pair, Aces and Jacks
Hero wins the pot ($2,187.50) with two pair, Aces and Jacks
noluck17 adds $1,000
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $2,188 | Rake $0.50
Board: [4c 5s Jd Js 8d]
Seat 1: Hero (big blind) showed [Ah As] and won ($2,187.50) with two pair, Aces and Jacks
Seat 2: noluck17 (small blind) showed [6d 6c] and lost with two pair, Jacks and Sixes

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ud tilt too if u ran like me

[jhall23]

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I cashed out all of my money from FTP because seemingly every session I play involves at least 3 client crashes or it becomes really laggy and you end up timing out in way too many pots.

I am going to wait a while before I play on there again, it just seems too risky and too frustrating. I feel like things like that could definetely tilt me in the future as well.

Guess maybe I'll try and play on Stars some. I really gotta work on getting a better mod tho b4 i can play there.

[/ QUOTE ]

Are you using a wirless connection? Everytime I have tried palying recently on wireless I get the same crap, very annoying. When I plug in my laptop to my router with a cable it works fine.

[younghov17]

LOL @ you being boga on fulltilt man, u are by far one of the worst players i have ever seen. ill be back with some hands asap. browsing my database as we speak.

[MTBlue]

Post deleted by MTBlue

[younghov17]

actually i had you confused with beck23

[Fight Club]

Does anyone actually have a large datamining DB for Party over the last few months - PM me if you can help.

[billyjex]

1100 hands today, 32% won when saw flop, 41% showdowns won, [censored] yeah! (and this is palying 17/15)

[GHAND]

so how are the 3/6, 5/10 shorthanded games on party now the americans have left? anyone have any thoughts?

[FieryJustice]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
I have a question about winrates...Is there any way to know what range your true win rate will fall in in the long run if you know your win rate over some sample size?

[/ QUOTE ]


winrate with 95% confidence = winrate +/- 3*SD/sqrt(#hands/100)

get SD from session notes tab in PT and the more detail button. this is just a rough estimate since i doubt NLHE hands are normally distributed

[/ QUOTE ]

thanks for this.