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#13
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Here is the simplest example possible:
Say you have set over setted someone on the turn and the pot has $44. So the underset is drawing to one out. If you run it once: He'll win 1/44 times, so his EV is $1. If you run it twice and don't reshuffle the cards: He'll get half the pot 1/22 times (he can never win the whole pot) so his EV is again $1. If you run it twice and do reshuffle the cards: He'll win the whole pot 1/44^2 = 1/1936 Get half 1/44 * 43/44 * 2 = 86/1936 And lose the whole pot 43/44^2 = 1849/1936 so his EV is: 44 * 1/1936 + 22 * 86/1936 = $1 Therefore: It doesn't matter at all, EV wise. QED |
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