When In Doubt, Donk It! (NC Thread)

[Shillx]

That is a pretty weak leaderboard. Just $400 for all that work? [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Hmmm 300 x 20 = $6000 [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[FUJItheFISH]

[ QUOTE ]
That is a pretty weak leaderboard. Just $400 for all that work? [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]

Hmmm 300 x 20 = $6000 [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

the turbos are $22!! im gonna be richhhh!#@!#)(!@*# CRAPS MONEY.

[knockonwood]

Just lost a $95 [censored] pot at absolute. 88 full house against a TT full house. I'd post it but FTR won't convert my absolute hands and I'm too pissed off anyway.

[DrModern]

[ QUOTE ]
Just lost a $95 [censored] pot at absolute. 88 full house against a TT full house. I'd post it but FTR won't convert my absolute hands and I'm too pissed off anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

To add insult to injury, your new avatar is not that sweet.

[knockonwood]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Just lost a $95 [censored] pot at absolute. 88 full house against a TT full house. I'd post it but FTR won't convert my absolute hands and I'm too pissed off anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

To add insult to injury, your new avatar is not that sweet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thats my step dad Doc you [censored]. You wait until i tell my mother.

[Bilgefisher]

http://www.neildewhurst.com/hand-converter/

this should convert your absolute hands.

[bozlax]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Just lost a $95 [censored] pot at absolute. 88 full house against a TT full house. I'd post it but FTR won't convert my absolute hands and I'm too pissed off anyway.

[/ QUOTE ]

To add insult to injury, your new avatar is not that sweet.

[/ QUOTE ]

Thats my step dad Doc you [censored]. You wait until i tell my mother.

[/ QUOTE ]

You don't think your mother knows who she's married to?

[Str8Fish]

PokerStars 0.50/1.00 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero...

hmm... I'm getting 5:1 on a call here.

P(flush or flush draw) = 11/50*10/49*48/48 + 11/50*49/49*10/48 + 50/50*11/49*10/48 = 13.75% = 6.27:1

P(flush draw) = 11/50*10/49*39/48 + 11/50*39/49*10/48 + 39/50*11/49*10/48 = 10.94% = 8.1:1 in which will hit 34.97% of the time, so 10.94*34.97 = 3.83% of the time I will end up with a flush.

P(flopped flush) = P(flush or flush draw) - P(flush draw) = 13.75% - 10.94% = 2.81%

So I will end up with a flush when all's said and done 2.81% + 3.83% = 6.64% of the time = 14.1:1.

OK, but I'm only calling preflop to get either a flush or a flush draw right? I don't continue on the flop if I don't get one of those. So 6.27:1 on my call without implied odds. I can make up the rest with implied odds, given my pot odds of 5:1 right? I could maybe bump it up past that if I were to take into account two pair and such.

Anyone see any mistakes in my math? Anyone out there NOT call this?

[MrWookie]

Flopping a flush draw is just slimly profitable. Your implied odds aren't all that great, esp. w/ just two opponents. I fold this every time.

Also, I don't think I trust your math. If you have HPFAP, you can check your numbers against theirs in the back of the book. My copy is not at work with me.

[Str8Fish]

hmm yea, I don't have HPFAP here at work either.

Here's the rest of the hand:

PokerStars 0.50/1.00 Hold'em (6 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Preflop: Hero is SB with 2[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], T[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
UTG calls, <font color="#666666">3 folds</font>, Hero completes, BB checks.

Flop: (3 SB) Q[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks.

Turn: (1.50 BB) 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, BB checks, UTG checks.

River: (1.50 BB) T[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(3 players)</font>
Hero checks, <font color="#CC3333">BB bets</font>, UTG folds, Hero folds.

Final Pot: 2.50 BB

I'm looking at this, and I kinda like the river fold, but then part of me hates it. I don't know. This may have been a separate post. Sorry to add content to the NC thread [img]/images/graemlins/frown.gif[/img]