AK unimproved river play

[geormiet]

You're pretty much correct in what you say. Therefore, if the villian is playing his normal A game he should be able to fold AJ.

Some compelling reasons to bet, however:

-He pretty much has only AK or AJ here most of the time.

-If he's good enough to fold AJ, then he's could also fold AK.

-He only has to be tilting a little bit to convince himself to call with AJ.