$55r How would you play AK in the Money

[TravestyFund]

easy shove

[AMT]

[ QUOTE ]
easy shove

[/ QUOTE ]

[speedyg]

Here is an ICM calculation.

Suppose Villian is raising 20% and is calling my push with the top 10%.

My equity when I double up .4265.

My equity when he folds to the push is.3692.

I win 57% of the time when called.

So I'm getting

(1/2)*(0.57*0.4265+0.43*0.2)+(1/2)*0.3692= .349

My equity before the hand was .346.

Hmmm, it's close. I pushed at the time but am still wondering if a call would have been more profitable given my read of a tight short stack.

[AlcateL]

yep - push.

[mWired]

push push push...

[player1]

i've been toying with a simple min raise in these spots. so you can accordingly call villain's attempt at a resteal. also, allowing you to fold if your hand wasn't "allin-able". too early to tell, but so far so good.

however, pushing (and doing what sngpt tells you) is all good especially when your multitabling...

[sofere]

A call would be HORRIBLE here IMO. Your calling off to much of your stack and if he fires a continuation bet at you, you're stuck somewhere between the moon and NYC.

Either push or fold. If he's calling the reraise 100% of the time, a push is profitable if hes raising top 15% or more.

Well he ain't calling 100% of the time, and he is raising more than top 15% so push away.

[slik]

[ QUOTE ]
Here is an ICM calculation.

Suppose Villian is raising 20% and is calling my push with the top 10%.

My equity when I double up .4265.

My equity when he folds to the push is.3692.

I win 57% of the time when called.

So I'm getting

(1/2)*(0.57*0.4265+0.43*0.2)+(1/2)*0.3692= .349

My equity before the hand was .346.

Hmmm, it's close. I pushed at the time but am still wondering if a call would have been more profitable given my read of a tight short stack.

[/ QUOTE ]
Given these assumptions, it's a clear fold. Intuitively, I would have pushed, too, in that position.

your equity if you fold is 0.337

Given that he raised, if you push he will fold half the time, making your equity (0.5 * 0.57 * .426) + (0.5 * 0.369) = 0.306 < 0.337

[speedyg]

I think you left out the .2 equity when he calls and you lose (from having already locked up 3rd place). With that correction

.349 (pushing) > .337 (folding)