Sygamel's 2005 NFL Regular Season Picks Log

[sygamel]

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But, hindsight is 20/20...I would not have made a post if NE would have won by exactly 7 telling you "this is why you buy the half point". Because, I know in this instance that it just happened to end that way.

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Yes and point taken. But it's not 20/20 hindsight. The idea of giving points for a better price when the algebra works is that you don't have to pay as much when you lose. Without stating so, that was my assertion in the beginning and I am trying to reiterate that now. (I believe I said this specifically in the Trends '92-'04 thread.) Unless you bet with 100% confidence, and I've never had a game rated higher than 75%, minimizing unnecessary loss in the long-run is smart strategy when the math for giving points is with you.

Hey you started out thinking I was dead wrong to give the half-point so at least I've made some progress. [img]/images/graemlins/wink.gif[/img]