"What decision do I make now?" : Math will not get you there

[Siegmund]

It's been almost exactly a year now since I saw a post from Utah, when he was first starting this project of his. I have been curious, off and on since then, whether it ever got off the ground or not. Nice to hear it's still going and has produced, well, something, even if we can't see just what.

I am, of course, a bit disturbed by the "math will not get you there" phrasing. I would word it more like this: given your knowledge about the cards and your opponents, there is a straightforward mathematical solution - calculate EVs, pick the best one. The problem is that the kind of knowledge we gain by watching an opponent (especially one who doesn't go to showdown) is difficult to represent in the kind of equation you saw in high school.

I am burning with curiosity about how you train a neural net without feeding it historical information, though. Updating the weights on nodes is not fundamentally different from updating any other statistic based on observations as they come in...