By Request, an Intro to Poker Math

[Finch]

I was tinkering with this for a little while, but stopped when I realized how much time it would take (I need to get back to work).

One thing that did notice in your analysis:

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Scenarios for a raise on the flop:

...

2) Villain calls down versus a raise on the flop and does improve on the turn/river

Hero contributes 3 SB preflop. Raise flop, 2 more SB. BB c/r turn (2 BB). Hero calls...



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We can't call this C/R on the turn because we know that BB has trips. I think we're drawing dead at this point because another Jack will just fill the villain up.

I could be wrong...

Actually, we do have the Jack outs if the turn is a 10, but only 2. I still don't think that's enough for a call.