call this AI with oesd?

hero · #1 05-23-2006, 08:22 PM

Right before the break $4/180- 75 Players left, villian has seemed solid and smart in ~3-4 orbits.
50/100 blinds - (8 players)
Converter on pregopoker.com

UTG (t5355)
UTG+1 (t15230)
MP1 (t968)
MP2 (t1520)
CO (t2295)
Button (t1705)
SB (t1450)
Hero (t8000)

Preflop: Hero is in BB with 7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] J[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img]
UTG calls t100, UTG+1 calls t100, MP1 folds, MP2 folds, CO folds, Button folds, SB raises to t300, Hero calls t200, UTG calls t200, UTG+1 calls t200

Flop: (t1250) 6[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] 8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img] 9[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] (4 players)
SB bets t400, Hero calls t400, UTG raises to t1200, UTG+1 folds, SB calls t750 (All-in), Hero calls t800

Turn: (t4800) 4[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] (3 players)
Hero checks, UTG bets t3855 (All-in), Hero ?

I was going to open push the turn but thought that villian would bet scared and give me better odds, im thinking he has a 9. i'd be calling 3855 into a 8655 pot. or 2.24 - 1. If my J is good as an over (say he has 9,X) how does that, coupled with the player already all-in, make this a fold/call?

equity (%) win (%) tie (%)
Hand 1: 40.3030 % 39.70% 00.61% { Jh7d }
Hand 2: 59.6970 % 59.09% 00.61% { Qs9h }

i'm thinkin it goes something like this, but if he only has a 7 im way ahead bc of the nut straight T outs.

your play and why? thanks-

JeanieJ · #2 05-23-2006, 08:29 PM

Easy fold,

One card to come and you don't have the odds to go for it.

FYI- I'd fold preflop as well.

hero · #3 05-23-2006, 09:37 PM

thanks jeanie - i guess it was this straightforward? i was getting about 2-1 on what i figured was a 4-1 straight draw plus a bit extra on the possibility of my over J being good. the sidepot messed with my logic and im still thinking if both have a pair, say Q9 and A9 im good here but having trouble computing the proper odds to call? thanks-