RoR in X amount of hands.

[ShakeZula06]

Nobody? Well I was thinking about it.

Let's say you have to play 5,000 hands to clear the bonus, which would mean for you to not clear it your WR would have to be -5 BB/100 hands for you to not comlete it.

SO then the question becomes, what are the chances that a player with a WR of 1.5 BBs/100 hands and a sd of 17 BBs/100 hands runs at -5BBs/100 hands or worse in 5,000 hands.

Now that I think about it I think I have to find the chance that I will never be down 250 BBs during any block of X hands.

Thoughts? Links? Anybody?

Thanks,
Ben